[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":448},["ShallowReactive",2],{"ep-en-2026-11-04":3},{"show":4,"episode":27,"newer":442,"older":445,"langs":447},{"code":5,"rtl":6,"name":7,"tagline":8,"slug":9,"description":10,"disclaimer":15,"footer":16,"hosts":17,"links":20,"author":24,"cover":25,"cover_full":26},"en",false,"The Poly Brief","What the market thinks, and why","the-poly-brief",[11,12,13,14],"Every day, people around the world put money on what happens next: who wins an election, whether rates go up, whether a ceasefire holds. On the prediction market Polymarket, those prices are odds, and they move the moment something happens.","The Poly Brief picks the one or two biggest moves on the board each morning, shows where the odds stand and how they shifted, and answers the question that actually matters: why is the market betting this way? What happened in the news, what's driving it, and what could still flip it.","Maya and Daniel, ten minutes, every day. Every number is backed by reporting, and every source is linked in the episode notes.","Not investment advice and not a recommendation to bet. Odds are prices, not prophecies. Independent, not affiliated with Polymarket.","For information only. Not investment advice and not a recommendation to bet. Odds are prediction-market prices at the snapshot time and change constantly. Polymarket is restricted in some countries. The Poly Brief is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.","The Poly Brief: a daily podcast on the biggest moves on Polymarket, and why.",{"maya":18,"daniel":19},"Maya","Daniel",{"apple":21,"spotify":22,"youtube":23},"https:\u002F\u002Fpodcasts.apple.com\u002Fus\u002Fpodcast\u002Fthe-poly-brief\u002Fid6819226739","https:\u002F\u002Fopen.spotify.com\u002Fshow\u002F51LrWw79maXwAkhbpatzRO","","David Meir-Levy","\u002Fmedia\u002Fcovers\u002Fen-1400.jpg","\u002Fmedia\u002Fcovers\u002Fen-3000.jpg",{"date":28,"lang":5,"title":29,"summary":30,"headline":33,"date_label":34,"published_utc":35,"snapshot_utc":35,"snapshot_label":36,"poster":37,"poster_full":38,"links":39,"audio":42,"markets":43,"transcript":168,"sources":327},"2026-11-04","Nov 4: The wave, a 43-vote Senate race, and Israel's first mandate",[31,32],"The morning after the midterms. Democrats won the Senate and the House, and we open the board on every call we made: the Senate at 64.5% two weeks ago, Kansas, Maine, Texas. And two misses, both in the same direction: Iowa, where the market had the Republican at 58%, and the Texas governor's race, where Gina Hinojosa beat Greg Abbott, the first Democratic governor there since 1990. Then Mississippi: at 11:30 at night the market gave Scott Colom 12%. Thirty five minutes later he led by 28 votes, and the market said 75. Now it's 43 votes and 80%. Plus Alaska, two Dan Sullivans, and the man with \"zero interest\" who is now the favorite for 2028.","Then Israel. The election results are official, the consultations start today, and Gadi Eisenkot is at 55%, up 11 in a day. Lieberman's switch, the recommendation math (46 for Netanyahu, 48 confirmed for Eisenkot, 19 more expected from the Arab parties), and why a first mandate is not a government.","The wave. And 43 votes.","November 4, 2026","2026-11-04T10:55:58+00:00","November 4, 2026, 10:55 UTC","\u002Fmedia\u002F2026-11-04\u002Fen\u002Fposter-1400.jpg","\u002Fmedia\u002F2026-11-04\u002Fen\u002Fposter.jpg",{"apple":40,"spotify":41,"youtube":23},"https:\u002F\u002Fpodcasts.apple.com\u002Fus\u002Fpodcast\u002Fthe-poly-brief\u002Fid6819226739?i=1000799796967","https:\u002F\u002Fcreators.spotify.com\u002Fpod\u002Fprofile\u002Fdavid08438\u002Fepisodes\u002FNov-4-The-wave--a-43-vote-Senate-race--and-Israels-first-mandate-e3rnv5f",null,[44,49,64,77,92,107,112,117,128,133,148,163],{"title":45,"url":46,"volume_24h":47,"outcomes":48},"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwhich-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026",12866139.516862,[],{"title":50,"url":51,"volume_24h":52,"outcomes":53},"Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fbalance-of-power-2026-midterms",13483972.264284,[54,59],{"label":55,"price":56,"change_1d":57,"change_1w":58},"Democrats Sweep",0.9995,0.2445,0.3445,{"label":60,"price":61,"change_1d":62,"change_1w":63},"D Senate, R House",0.0005,-0.009,-0.0085,{"title":65,"url":66,"volume_24h":67,"outcomes":68},"Mississippi Senate Election Winner","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fmississippi-senate-election-winner",2989864.6502819997,[69,73],{"label":70,"price":71,"change_1d":72,"change_1w":72},"Scott Colom (D)",0.8045,0.6695,{"label":74,"price":75,"change_1d":76,"change_1w":76},"Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)",0.1915,-0.6735,{"title":78,"url":79,"volume_24h":80,"outcomes":81},"Alaska Senate Election Winner","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Falaska-senate-election-winner",1868323.5017170003,[82,87],{"label":83,"price":84,"change_1d":85,"change_1w":86},"Mary Peltola (D)",0.863,0.148,0.118,{"label":88,"price":89,"change_1d":90,"change_1w":91},"Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)",0.136,-0.149,-0.119,{"title":93,"url":94,"volume_24h":95,"outcomes":96},"Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Frepublican-senate-seats-after-the-midterms-low-brackets",482879.444328,[97,102],{"label":98,"price":99,"change_1d":100,"change_1w":101},"44",0.7115,0.6415,0.6315,{"label":103,"price":104,"change_1d":105,"change_1w":106},"45",0.226,0.1015,0.1605,{"title":108,"url":109,"volume_24h":110,"outcomes":111},"Texas Governor Election Winner","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ftexas-governor-winner-2026",4452461.352318001,[],{"title":113,"url":114,"volume_24h":115,"outcomes":116},"Kansas Senate Election Winner","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fkansas-senate-election-winner",1041570.443878,[],{"title":118,"url":119,"volume_24h":120,"outcomes":121},"Nebraska Senate Election Winner  ","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fnebraska-senate-election-winner",1702251.28514,[122,126],{"label":123,"price":56,"change_1d":124,"change_1w":125},"Pete Ricketts (R)",0.3245,0.2845,{"label":127,"price":61,"change_1d":42,"change_1w":42},"Democrat",{"title":129,"url":130,"volume_24h":131,"outcomes":132},"Iowa Senate Election Winner","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fiowa-senate-election-winner",1267214.132709,[],{"title":134,"url":135,"volume_24h":136,"outcomes":137},"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fdemocratic-presidential-nominee-2028",2150858.408206,[138,143],{"label":139,"price":140,"change_1d":141,"change_1w":142},"Jon Ossoff",0.29,0.14,0.1395,{"label":144,"price":145,"change_1d":146,"change_1w":147},"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez",0.1735,0.0155,0.0125,{"title":149,"url":150,"volume_24h":151,"outcomes":152},"Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwho-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election",921823.1649820001,[153,158],{"label":154,"price":155,"change_1d":156,"change_1w":157},"Gadi Eizenkot",0.5505,0.109,0.231,{"label":159,"price":160,"change_1d":161,"change_1w":162},"Benjamin Netanyahu",0.2715,-0.0635,-0.1635,{"title":164,"url":165,"volume_24h":166,"outcomes":167},"Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fisrael-election-raam-of-seats",59944.851845000005,[],[169,171,173,175,177,179,181,183,185,187,189,191,193,195,197,199,201,203,205,207,209,211,213,215,217,219,221,223,225,227,229,231,233,235,237,239,241,243,245,247,249,251,253,255,257,259,261,263,265,267,269,271,273,275,277,279,281,283,285,287,289,291,293,295,297,299,301,303,305,307,309,311,313,315,317,319,321,323,325],{"scene":170},"Cold open",{"speaker":18,"text":172},"At eleven thirty last night in Mississippi, the Republican senator led by fifteen thousand votes. The market gave the Democrat twelve percent.",{"speaker":19,"text":174},"Thirty five minutes later, he was ahead by twenty eight votes. Out of more than nine hundred thousand. And the market said seventy five.",{"speaker":18,"text":176},"This is The Poly Brief. It's Wednesday, November fourth. I'm Maya.",{"speaker":19,"text":178},"And I'm Daniel. Every day we take the biggest moves on Polymarket, show you where the odds stand, and ask: why is the market betting this way?",{"speaker":18,"text":180},"Today: the morning after the midterms, and who called it. Then Israel, where the results are finally official.",{"scene":182},"Story 1: The midterms",{"speaker":18,"text":184},"Story one. The board. Who wins the Senate? That market is closed. Democrats. And Democrats taking both chambers: ninety nine point nine five.",{"speaker":19,"text":186},"The AP called the Senate for Democrats late Tuesday night, and the House early Wednesday. Before the election, Republicans held fifty three Senate seats.",{"speaker":18,"text":188},"So, who called it? What did we say?",{"speaker":19,"text":190},"On October twenty first, the market gave Democrats the Senate at sixty four and a half. Yesterday morning, seventy five and a half. Both chambers: sixty three and a half in early October. So the market called it, and it got more sure every week.",{"speaker":19,"text":192},"Kansas. On Sunday, Adam Hamilton was at fifty two and a half. Basically a toss up. He won fifty two to forty five. The first Democrat to win a Senate seat in Kansas since nineteen thirty two.",{"speaker":19,"text":194},"Maine. Troy Jackson was at sixty three and a half two weeks ago. Susan Collins, in the seat since nineteen ninety seven, conceded overnight. No sitting senator from Maine had lost since nineteen seventy eight.",{"speaker":18,"text":196},"And how much did that one cost?",{"speaker":19,"text":198},"At least two hundred and twenty four million dollars. The most expensive race in the country, per person.",{"speaker":19,"text":200},"Nebraska. We had Pete Ricketts at seventy four and a half against the independent, Dan Osborn. This morning, Ricketts is at practically a hundred.",{"speaker":18,"text":202},"And the misses?",{"speaker":19,"text":204},"Two. Both in the same direction. In Iowa, two weeks ago, the market gave the Republican, Ashley Hinson, fifty eight percent. Josh Turek won, about fifty one to forty six.",{"speaker":19,"text":206},"And Texas governor. On Monday, we had Greg Abbott at fifty eight. Gina Hinojosa won, fifty seven to forty one with two thirds of precincts in. Texas hadn't elected a Democratic governor since Ann Richards, in nineteen ninety.",{"speaker":18,"text":208},"So for three elections, everyone worried the polls were too kind to Democrats. And this time, the misses went the other way.",{"speaker":19,"text":210},"In Iowa at least, yes. The October polls ranged from Hinson by two to Turek by four. He won by almost five.",{"speaker":18,"text":212},"Okay. Now Mississippi. Walk me through the night.",{"speaker":19,"text":214},"Around eight twenty in the evening, Central time, the market gave Scott Colom three percent against Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith. At eleven thirty at night, with almost ninety three percent counted, she led by about fifteen thousand. The market said twelve.",{"speaker":19,"text":216},"Then the last counties came in. Claiborne, Jefferson, Leflore. And Hinds County, home of Jackson. There, Colom got about sixty two thousand votes to her fifteen thousand. Just after midnight, he led by twenty eight votes.",{"speaker":19,"text":218},"At three in the morning, with ninety five point six percent counted: Colom ahead by forty three votes. Nobody has called it.",{"speaker":18,"text":220},"And the market gives him eighty percent. On forty three votes?",{"speaker":19,"text":222},"That's the bet. Number one: what's left. Colom's campaign manager says at least fifteen thousand affidavit ballots are still uncounted. Traders are betting those lean his way, like the late counties did.",{"speaker":19,"text":224},"Number two: the night itself. Every county that came in late went big for him. The market is betting the pattern holds.",{"speaker":18,"text":226},"And if he wins?",{"speaker":19,"text":228},"The last Democrat to win a Senate seat in Mississippi was John Stennis, in nineteen eighty two.",{"speaker":18,"text":230},"The other side.",{"speaker":19,"text":232},"Forty three votes is nothing. Counting the rest could take up to five business days, and there's no runoff. Whoever has one more vote wins. Eighty percent means that about one time in five, the senator keeps her seat.",{"speaker":19,"text":234},"And Alaska is the opposite story. The market gives Mary Peltola eighty six percent against Senator Dan Sullivan. But in the latest count we found, with about seventy percent of precincts in, Sullivan was ahead, forty eight point six to forty seven point four.",{"speaker":18,"text":236},"And the other Dan Sullivan?",{"speaker":19,"text":238},"One point seven percent. Two Dan Sullivans on one ballot. And if nobody passes fifty, the ranked choice count is on November eighteenth.",{"speaker":19,"text":240},"So how many Senate seats do Republicans end up with? The market's favorite answer: exactly forty four, at seventy one and a half. That only works if Democrats win Mississippi and Alaska too.",{"speaker":18,"text":242},"And the reactions?",{"speaker":19,"text":244},"President Trump, to Fox News: congratulations to the Democrats. They did a good job.",{"speaker":19,"text":246},"And one more board, for the long game. The 2028 Democratic nominee. On Monday, Jon Ossoff was at fourteen and a half. He won reelection in Georgia, and this morning he's the favorite, at twenty nine. Up fourteen in a day.",{"speaker":18,"text":248},"The man who said he has zero interest in running for president.",{"speaker":19,"text":250},"And the market's interest? Twenty nine percent.",{"speaker":18,"text":252},"What to watch. Mississippi's last ballots, over the next few days. Alaska's count, and the ranked choice round on November eighteenth. We'll be back on both, to see who called it.",{"speaker":18,"text":254},"Bottom line: the market called the wave. It just didn't call how big. And in Mississippi, it's paying eighty cents for forty three votes.",{"speaker":19,"text":256},"If you want this every morning, without staying up until three, hit follow.",{"scene":258},"Bridge",{"speaker":18,"text":260},"So. Did you give the sticker back?",{"speaker":19,"text":262},"I did. My cousin said keep it. He's been up since four refreshing Mississippi.",{"speaker":18,"text":264},"Four in the morning, refreshing one county.",{"speaker":19,"text":266},"He says Holmes County is his new favorite place on earth. He's never been there.",{"speaker":18,"text":268},"Well, here's a place where they've been counting and recounting for a week.",{"speaker":19,"text":270},"And this morning, they finally signed off on it.",{"scene":272},"Story 2: Israel",{"speaker":18,"text":274},"Story two. The board. Israel's next prime minister. Gadi Eisenkot, the opposition leader: fifty five percent. Up eleven in a day, up twenty three in a week.",{"speaker":19,"text":276},"Benjamin Netanyahu: twenty seven. Down six in a day, sixteen in a week. On Monday, we had Gadi Eisenkot at forty three and a half.",{"speaker":19,"text":278},"And a quick one, who called it: on October thirtieth, the market gave Ra'am eight seats or more at ninety seven. The official results say eight. Called it.",{"speaker":18,"text":280},"So what happened?",{"speaker":19,"text":282},"At nine this morning, Israel time, the Central Elections Committee approved the final results. Fifteen members voted yes, fourteen abstained, and two voted no. The judge who chairs it said: none of this casts doubt on the election as a whole.",{"speaker":19,"text":284},"The AP reports the committee found no evidence of irregularities that affected the result. And President Herzog has accepted the results.",{"speaker":18,"text":286},"And the seats, one more time?",{"speaker":19,"text":288},"The Likud party has twenty seven, the most of anyone. Netanyahu's bloc: fifty three. The opposition: forty eight. The Arab parties: nineteen. Nobody at sixty one.",{"speaker":18,"text":290},"So why is Gadi Eisenkot at fifty five?",{"speaker":19,"text":292},"Number one: Avigdor Lieberman. On Tuesday morning, he said he'll recommend Gadi Eisenkot to the president. His words: we must prevent another election.",{"speaker":19,"text":294},"That evening, five opposition leaders met in Herzliya for seventy minutes and agreed: one name, Gadi Eisenkot, and start drafting coalition deals.",{"speaker":19,"text":296},"Number two: the count of recommendations. Netanyahu has the Likud party, Shas, Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism. That's forty six. Gadi Eisenkot has forty eight confirmed. And the two Arab parties, with nineteen, are expected to back him too, though not formally yet.",{"speaker":19,"text":298},"So he's expected to get the first chance to form a government. The market moved up through the morning, and touched fifty nine. The timing matches the committee's vote. But we didn't find one headline that explains the whole move.",{"speaker":18,"text":300},"And the order of the meetings with the president is my favorite part.",{"speaker":19,"text":302},"Smallest parties first. Religious Zionism, Shas and Yisrael Beytenu today. Tomorrow the rest. The biggest party, Likud, goes last. On Thursday evening, at eight thirty.",{"speaker":18,"text":304},"The other side. Because the first mandate isn't a government.",{"speaker":19,"text":306},"Right. And this market only pays when a prime minister is sworn in. Lieberman wants a government without Ra'am or the Joint List. So without the Arab parties, Gadi Eisenkot has forty eight. Add the ultra Orthodox party, United Torah Judaism, and it's fifty five. Still not sixty one.",{"speaker":19,"text":308},"And United Torah Judaism hasn't decided. It wants a draft exemption law, and it may recommend nobody.",{"speaker":19,"text":310},"A former member of Knesset, Dov Lipman, told Fox News: Eisenkot will likely fail to form a government, after which the mandate will pass to Netanyahu.",{"speaker":19,"text":312},"The clock: twenty eight days, plus up to fourteen. Then a second candidate gets twenty eight. Then any name with sixty one signatures. And if all of that fails, another election within ninety days.",{"speaker":18,"text":314},"What to watch. The consultations, today and tomorrow. The new Knesset is sworn in on November tenth. And the president's deadline to hand out the mandate is November eleventh. We'll check in on the twelfth.",{"speaker":18,"text":316},"Bottom line: fifty five says Gadi Eisenkot gets the first shot, with slightly better than even odds he makes it. Twenty seven for Netanyahu says the first shot is not the last.",{"scene":318},"Close",{"speaker":18,"text":320},"That's The Poly Brief. Every article and number is linked in the description.",{"speaker":19,"text":322},"And a reminder: these odds are prices, not prophecies. Nothing here is investment advice. Eighty percent for Scott Colom still means that about one time in five, the senator keeps her seat.",{"speaker":18,"text":324},"If this helped, follow or subscribe, leave us a rating, and send it to the friend who now knows every county in Mississippi.",{"speaker":19,"text":326},"We're here every morning. See you tomorrow!",[328,332,336,340,344,349,353,357,360,364,368,372,376,380,384,388,392,396,400,405,409,413,417,420,423,427,430,434,438],{"outlet":329,"date":28,"title":330,"url":331},"Forbes","Midterm election results live updates: Democrats sweep House and Senate in stunning rout","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.forbes.com\u002Fsites\u002Fsaradorn\u002F2026\u002F11\u002F04\u002Fmidterm-election-results-live-updates-democrats-sweep-house-and-senate-in-stunning-rout\u002F",{"outlet":333,"date":28,"title":334,"url":335},"NBC San Diego","Live updates: Democrats win control of the House and Senate","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.nbcsandiego.com\u002Felections\u002Felection-day-after-2026-midterms-congress-results-live-updates\u002F4096585\u002F",{"outlet":337,"date":28,"title":338,"url":339},"Newsweek","Democrats win Congress; Alaska Senate race","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.newsweek.com\u002Fdemocrats-congress-alaska-senate-race-12660748",{"outlet":341,"date":28,"title":342,"url":343},"Click2Houston (KPRC)","Gina Hinojosa wins Texas governor's race, first Democrat in 36 years","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.click2houston.com\u002Fdecision-2026\u002F2026\u002F11\u002F04\u002Fgina-hinojosa-wins-texas-governors-race-first-democrat-in-36-years\u002F",{"outlet":345,"date":346,"title":347,"url":348},"KUT","2026-11-03","Texas November midterm statewide election results","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.kut.org\u002Ftexas\u002F2026-11-03\u002Ftexas-nov-midterm-statewide-election-results",{"outlet":350,"date":28,"title":351,"url":352},"KSAT (Texas Tribune)","James Talarico defeats Ken Paxton, giving Democrats their first US Senate win in Texas since 1988","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.ksat.com\u002Fnews\u002Ftexas\u002F2026\u002F11\u002F04\u002Fjames-talarico-defeats-ken-paxton-giving-democrats-their-first-us-senate-win-in-texas-since-1988\u002F",{"outlet":354,"date":28,"title":355,"url":356},"Maine Public","Susan Collins concedes to Troy Jackson in Maine Senate race","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.mainepublic.org\u002Fpolitics\u002F2026-11-04\u002Fsusan-collins-concedes-to-troy-jackson-in-maine-senate-race",{"outlet":337,"date":28,"title":358,"url":359},"Iowa Senate results: Josh Turek vs Ashley Hinson","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.newsweek.com\u002Fiowa-senate-results-josh-turek-ashley-hinson-midterm-12630515",{"outlet":361,"date":346,"title":362,"url":363},"GV Wire","Democrat Adam Hamilton flips Kansas Senate seat, defeats GOP Sen. Roger Marshall","https:\u002F\u002Fgvwire.com\u002F2026\u002F11\u002F03\u002Fdemocrat-adam-hamilton-flips-kansas-senate-seat-defeats-gop-sen-roger-marshall\u002F",{"outlet":365,"date":28,"title":366,"url":367},"WLOX","Hyde-Smith, Colom address watch parties as election night comes close","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wlox.com\u002F2026\u002F11\u002F04\u002Fhyde-smith-colom-address-watch-parties-election-night-comes-close\u002F",{"outlet":369,"date":28,"title":370,"url":371},"Mississippi Independent","Colom pulls ahead of Hyde-Smith","https:\u002F\u002Fmsindy.org\u002Fp\u002Fcolom-pulls-ahead-of-hyde-smith-by",{"outlet":373,"date":28,"title":374,"url":375},"Mississippi Free Press","Democrat Scott Colom leads Mississippi US Senate race by 28 votes against Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.mississippifreepress.org\u002Fdemocrat-scott-colom-leads-mississippi-us-senate-race-by-28-votes-against-republican-cindy-hyde-smith\u002F",{"outlet":377,"date":28,"title":378,"url":379},"KBTX (Gray TV)","Colom, Hyde-Smith separated by narrow margin in Mississippi Senate race","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.kbtx.com\u002F2026\u002F11\u002F04\u002Fcolom-hyde-smith-separated-by-narrow-margin-mississippi-senate-race\u002F",{"outlet":381,"date":28,"title":382,"url":383},"Magnolia Tribune","Too close to call","https:\u002F\u002Fmagnoliatribune.com\u002F2026\u002F11\u002F04\u002Ftoo-close-to-call\u002F",{"outlet":385,"date":28,"title":386,"url":387},"SuperTalk Mississippi","US Senate race between Hyde-Smith, Colom too close to call as of early Wednesday morning","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.supertalk.fm\u002Fu-s-senate-race-between-hyde-smith-colom-too-close-to-call-as-of-early-wednesday-morning\u002F",{"outlet":389,"date":28,"title":390,"url":391},"Alaska Public Media","Alaska's US Senate race","https:\u002F\u002Falaskapublic.org\u002Fnews\u002Fpolitics\u002Felections\u002F2026-11-03\u002Fpeltola-takes-early-lead-in-alaskas-u-s-senate-race",{"outlet":393,"date":28,"title":394,"url":395},"Yahoo News (dpa)","Trump congratulates Democrats on sweeping US midterms","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.yahoo.com\u002Fnews\u002Fpolitics\u002Farticles\u002Ftrump-congratulates-democrats-sweeping-us-061906939.html",{"outlet":397,"date":28,"title":398,"url":399},"Yahoo News (AFP)","Rising Democratic star Jon Ossoff's reelection fuels presidential prospects","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.yahoo.com\u002Fnews\u002Fpolitics\u002Farticles\u002Frising-democratic-star-jon-ossoffs-024415142.html",{"outlet":401,"date":402,"title":403,"url":404},"Times of Israel","2026-10-30","Central Elections Committee publishes final election results, Knesset to be sworn in Nov. 10","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.timesofisrael.com\u002Fliveblog_entry\u002Fcentral-elections-committee-publishes-final-election-results-knesset-to-be-sworn-in-nov-10\u002F",{"outlet":406,"date":28,"title":407,"url":408},"Ynetnews","Herzog receives official election results as Eisenkot looks set for first shot at forming government","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.ynetnews.com\u002Farticle\u002Fsyxx2dutfg",{"outlet":410,"date":28,"title":411,"url":412},"AOL (AP)","Israel's election commission says no fraud found in last week's vote","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aol.com\u002Farticles\u002Fisraels-election-commission-says-no-062646000.html",{"outlet":406,"date":414,"title":415,"url":416},"2026-11-02","Israel's coalition consultations: the move pressuring undecided parties","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.ynetnews.com\u002Farticle\u002Fhy3hwbiagx",{"outlet":406,"date":346,"title":418,"url":419},"Liberman to recommend Eisenkot","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.ynetnews.com\u002Farticle\u002Fh1n0nndtme",{"outlet":401,"date":346,"title":421,"url":422},"Opposition chiefs meet, agree to launch coalition talks, but path remains unclear","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.timesofisrael.com\u002Fopposition-chiefs-meet-agree-to-launch-coalition-talks-but-path-remains-unclear\u002F",{"outlet":424,"date":346,"title":425,"url":426},"Jerusalem Post","Otzma, Shas and Religious Zionism to recommend Netanyahu","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.jpost.com\u002Fisrael-election-2026\u002Farticle-913725",{"outlet":424,"date":28,"title":428,"url":429},"UTJ demands draft law from Netanyahu, but will it make Eisenkot pay upfront?","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.jpost.com\u002Fisrael-election-2026\u002Farticle-913801",{"outlet":406,"date":431,"title":432,"url":433},"2026-11-01","Expected recommendations and the path to a government","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.ynetnews.com\u002Farticle\u002Fsk8eaw4pge",{"outlet":435,"date":28,"title":436,"url":437},"WFMD (Fox News)","Netanyahu faces coalition showdown as rivals maneuver to form Israel's next government","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wfmd.com\u002F2026\u002F11\u002F04\u002Fnetanyahu-faces-coalition-showdown-as-rivals-maneuver-to-form-israels-next-government\u002F",{"outlet":439,"date":28,"title":440,"url":441},"Polymarket CLOB","Price history: Mississippi Senate, Alaska Senate, Israel PM","https:\u002F\u002Fclob.polymarket.com\u002Fprices-history",{"date":443,"title":444},"2026-11-05","Nov 5: Mississippi's 1,138 votes, Alaska's math, and Iran's new clock",{"date":346,"title":446},"Nov 3: A strike on Qeshm, three hours of silence. And Election Day",[5],1793950845785]